White Papers

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Uncertainty & Estimation

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The RiskyProject Bayesian Learning Algorithm

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Bayesian Project Management

Graph showing risk workoff over time.

Learning Project Completion Velocities

Cost to complete probability chart, target $40k.

DODCAS Presentation

Treatment impact on survival rates.

Introducing Bayesian Networks

Satellite image of a powerful hurricane.

Whitepaper: Calculating Weather Event Return Rates Using Bayesian Parameter Learning

Four probability density function graphs.

Bayesian A/B Testing

Project Risk and Reward

Project Risk and Reward

As illustrated in Figure 1, projects vary significantly in their uncertainty and potential rewards. The more innovative the project, the greater the value it can deliver, but it also carries more risk. It is critical to understand how project management techniques must evolve as a project matures. Program managers face the challenge of investing in the right mix of projects to maximize ROI.